Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for CD Guadalajara had a probability of 34.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.95%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest CD Guadalajara win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result
Toluca	Draw	CD Guadalajara
41.53% ( 0.44)	24.26% ( -0.16)	34.2% ( -0.27)

Both teams to score 59.98% (

0.5)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.41% (

0.68)

42.59% (

-0.68)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35% (

0.68)

64.99% (

-0.68)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.34% (

0.49)

20.65% (

-0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.76% (

0.77)

53.23% (

-0.77)

CD Guadalajara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.6% (

0.16)

24.4% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.18% (

0.23)

58.81% (

-0.23)

Score Analysis

Toluca 41.53%

CD Guadalajara 34.2%

Draw 24.26%

Toluca	Draw	CD Guadalajara
2-1 @ 8.84% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.95% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 6.27% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.65% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 3.3% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 1.83% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.83% Total : 41.53%	1-1 @ 11.21% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 6.24% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.16) 3-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.26%	1-2 @ 7.91% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 7.11% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 3.72% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.93% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.81% Total : 34.2%