Toluca had a strong showing in the second half of last season, boasting a formidable home record, but they have historically struggled against Juarez. The away side demonstrated their goalscoring ability in their opening match, which could be crucial in securing a point on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 62.07%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Juarez had a probability of 17.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 1-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%), while for a Juarez win it was 1-2 (4.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.

Result
Toluca	Draw	Juarez
62.07% ( 0.41)	20.26% ( -0.22)	17.67% ( -0.2)

Both teams to score 56.68% (

0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.9% (

0.68)

39.1% (

-0.68)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.57% (

0.71)

61.43% (

-0.71)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.9% (

0.32)

12.1% (

-0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.35% (

0.68)

37.64% (

-0.68)

Juarez Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.47% (

0.19)

35.52% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.71% (

0.2)

72.29% (

-0.2)

Score Analysis

Toluca 62.07%

Juarez 17.67%

Draw 20.26%

Toluca	Draw	Juarez
2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.59% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 9.08% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 6.99% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 6.75% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 3.69% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 3.57% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.06) 5-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.91% Total : 62.07%	1-1 @ 9.39% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.3% ( -0.14) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.19% Total : 20.26%	1-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 4.45% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.61% Total : 17.67%