SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 41.57%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 32.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 0-1 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Toronto | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
41.57% ( -0) | 25.69% | 32.74% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 54.61% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.6% ( -0) | 49.39% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.56% ( -0) | 71.43% ( 0) |
| Toronto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.43% ( -0) | 23.57% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.37% ( -0.01) | 57.63% ( 0.01) |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.44% ( 0) | 28.55% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.66% ( 0) | 64.34% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Toronto | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
| 1-0 @ 9.73% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.81% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.03% 3-1 @ 4.24% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.39% 3-2 @ 2.66% 4-1 @ 1.53% 4-0 @ 1.22% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2% Total : 41.57% | 1-1 @ 12.19% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.73% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.52% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.69% | 0-1 @ 8.43% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.64% 0-2 @ 5.29% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.19% 2-3 @ 2.31% 0-3 @ 2.21% ( 0)1-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.67% Total : 32.74% |
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