SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torpedo-BelAZ win with a probability of 39.39%. A win for Gomel had a probability of 35.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torpedo-BelAZ win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Gomel win was 0-1 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Torpedo-BelAZ | Draw | Gomel |
39.39% ( -0.09) | 25.51% ( 0.02) | 35.1% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 55.77% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.86% ( -0.06) | 48.14% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.7% ( -0.05) | 70.3% ( 0.06) |
| Torpedo-BelAZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.88% ( -0.08) | 24.12% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.58% ( -0.11) | 58.42% ( 0.11) |
| Gomel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.51% ( 0.02) | 26.49% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.31% ( 0.02) | 61.69% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Torpedo-BelAZ | Draw | Gomel |
| 1-0 @ 9.09% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.58% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.46% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.07% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.06% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.93% Total : 39.39% | 1-1 @ 12.07% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.51% | 0-1 @ 8.49% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.02% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.55% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.52% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.18% ( 0)Other @ 3.21% Total : 35.1% |
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