Considering their questionable form in front of their own supporters, home advantage is set to mean little for Toulouse as they welcome Montpellier to the Southern France.
Les Violets have meetings with PSG and third-placed Brest to round off the campaign, meaning that Friday's clash represents the final realistic opportunity to earn some points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 37.67%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 37.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 1-0 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.
-0.73) 
0.18) 
