Given Toulouse's recent wobbles on home soil, Nantes are expected to give the hosts a run for their money, but the visitors will struggle to claim all three points on Sunday.
Sitting two points from safety with four matches remaining, the Canaries must go for broke at Stadium de Toulouse, but their attacking endeavours will leave them vulnerable in defence.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 44.66%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Nantes win was 0-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
-0.33) 
0.09) 
