Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 51.81%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 22.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 0-1 (7.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tranmere Rovers would win this match.
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