SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 40.97%. A win for Pau had a probability of 32.98% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Pau win was 0-1 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Troyes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Troyes | Draw | Pau |
40.97% ( -0.16) | 26.05% ( 0.04) | 32.98% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 53.5% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.14% ( -0.14) | 50.86% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.25% ( -0.13) | 72.74% ( 0.13) |
| Troyes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.47% ( -0.14) | 24.52% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.01% ( -0.2) | 58.99% ( 0.2) |
| Pau Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.88% ( 0) | 29.12% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.95% ( 0.01) | 65.04% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Troyes | Draw | Pau |
| 1-0 @ 10.03% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.7% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.05% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.08% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.31% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.68% Total : 40.96% | 1-1 @ 12.38% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.14% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.04% | 0-1 @ 8.81% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.64% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.14% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 2.54% Total : 32.98% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
