Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 52.82%. A win for Georgia had a probability of 24.56% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.66%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Georgia win was 1-2 (6.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Turkey would win this match.

Result
Turkey	Draw	Georgia
52.82% ( 2.12)	22.63% ( -0.22)	24.56% ( -1.91)

Both teams to score 59.16% (

-1.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.21% (

-0.76)

40.79% (

0.75)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.82% (

-0.78)

63.18% (

0.77)

Turkey Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.5% (

0.46)

15.5% (

-0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.61% (

0.86)

44.39% (

-0.86)

Georgia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.01% (

-1.87)

29.98% (

1.86)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.9% (

-2.31)

66.1% (

2.31)

Score Analysis

Turkey 52.82%

Georgia 24.56%

Draw 22.62%

Turkey	Draw	Georgia
2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.14) 1-0 @ 8.66% ( 0.43) 2-0 @ 8.08% ( 0.52) 3-1 @ 6.05% ( 0.18) 3-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.4) 3-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 2.82% ( 0.13) 4-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.22) 4-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.73% Total : 52.82%	1-1 @ 10.43% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.22) 0-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.62%	1-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.34) 0-1 @ 5.6% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.24) 1-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.28) 2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.22) 0-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.18) Other @ 3.07% Total : 24.56%