SM
| Current League B4 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Wales | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Montenegro | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Turkey | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Iceland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 46.82%. A win for Wales had a probability of 26.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Wales win was 0-1 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Turkey | Draw | Wales |
46.82% ( 0.01) | 26.37% ( 0.01) | 26.81% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 49.31% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.23% ( -0.05) | 54.76% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.92% ( -0.04) | 76.08% ( 0.04) |
| Turkey Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.62% ( -0.02) | 23.37% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.64% ( -0.02) | 57.35% ( 0.02) |
| Wales Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.35% ( -0.05) | 35.64% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.58% ( -0.05) | 72.41% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Turkey | Draw | Wales |
| 1-0 @ 12.11% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.08% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.8% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.4% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.26% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.27% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.6% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.55% Other @ 2.75% Total : 46.82% | 1-1 @ 12.49% 0-0 @ 8.33% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.36% | 0-1 @ 8.6% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.44% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.43% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.22% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.52% ( -0)Other @ 1.99% Total : 26.81% |
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