Having drawn half of their league matches this season, Udinese could end up in Serie B as a result of failing to finish off ailing opponents. Napoli are often guilty of being wasteful in the final third, too, so a frustrating stalemate could be on the cards.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 55.61%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 21.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.83%) and 0-2 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Udinese win it was 1-0 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
-0.16) 
0.34) 
