Though their visitors have proved a tougher proposition recently than earlier this term, Napoli's need for the points is far greater.
That could even inhibit them, as has been the case on Neapolitan soil several times of late, so a close-fought encounter may be in store - with only the home side's attacking verve finally seeing them over the line.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 70.27%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 11.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.89%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.57%), while for a Udinese win it was 0-1 (3.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
