Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 53.1%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Union La Calera had a probability of 21.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.73%) and 1-2 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Union La Calera win it was 1-0 (7.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
0.06) 
-0.08) 
