SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 64.53%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Charleroi had a probability of 15.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.43%), while for a Charleroi win it was 0-1 (4.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Union SG | Draw | Charleroi |
64.53% ( -0.14) | 19.96% ( 0) | 15.5% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 52.82% ( 0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.17% ( 0.27) | 41.83% ( -0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.76% ( 0.27) | 64.23% ( -0.26) |
| Union SG Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.76% ( 0.04) | 12.24% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.05% ( 0.08) | 37.94% ( -0.08) |
| Charleroi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.19% ( 0.35) | 39.81% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.52% ( 0.32) | 76.48% ( -0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Union SG | Draw | Charleroi |
| 2-0 @ 10.74% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 10.23% ( -0.1)2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 7.53% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 6.93% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.95% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.64% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.19% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.66% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.53% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.53% Total : 64.52% | 1-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.87% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.13% Total : 19.96% | 0-1 @ 4.49% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.88% Total : 15.51% |
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