SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 37.96%. A draw had a probability of 31.1% and a win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 30.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.72%) and 2-1 (7.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.04%), while for a Boca Juniors win it was 0-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Union in this match.
| Result | ||
| Union | Draw | Boca Juniors |
37.96% ( -0.02) | 31.1% ( -0.01) | 30.93% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 38.93% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 31.33% ( 0.03) | 68.67% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.62% ( 0.02) | 86.37% ( -0.02) |
| Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.94% ( 0) | 35.06% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.2% ( 0) | 71.8% ( 0) |
| Boca Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.94% ( 0.04) | 40.06% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.29% ( 0.04) | 76.71% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Union | Draw | Boca Juniors |
| 1-0 @ 14.72% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.72% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 7.06% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.7% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.47% 3-2 @ 1.13% ( 0)Other @ 2.18% Total : 37.96% | 0-0 @ 14.04% ( -0.01) 1-1 @ 13.46% 2-2 @ 3.23% ( 0)Other @ 0.37% Total : 31.09% | 0-1 @ 12.84% 1-2 @ 6.16% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.88% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.79% ( 0)2-3 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 1.39% Total : 30.92% |
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