Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 5

Jun 25, 2022 at 1.30am UK

Estadio Alberto José Armando

Boca Juniors
1 - 2
Union

Salvio (40' pen.)
Izquierdoz (74'), Zambrano (90+12'), Fabra (90+10')
Izquierdoz (90+10')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Juarez (25' pen.), Troyansky (90+15' pen.)
Moyano (86'), Britez (90+15'), Troyansky (90+16')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Boca Juniors and Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Boca Juniors

Last Six:

Last Game: Barracas Central 1-3 Boca Juniors
Monday, June 20 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	River Plate	13	18	26
4	Boca Juniors	13	6	24
5	Defensa y Justicia	12	7	22

We said: Boca Juniors 3-0 Union

Tatengue are playing Boca Juniors at an inopportune moment, with the 34-time league champions firing on all cylinders in the attacking third, while Union might still be a little shell shocked from that second-half performance against River Plate where they conceded four goals in the final half-hour. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 58.63%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Union had a probability of 17.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.97%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Union win it was 0-1 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
Boca Juniors	Draw	Union
58.63% ( 0.92)	24.03% ( -0.31)	17.34% ( -0.61)

Both teams to score 44.28% (

-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.7% (

0.29)

55.3% (

-0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.48% (

0.24)

76.52% (

-0.23)

Boca Juniors Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.32% (

0.46)

18.68% (

-0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.98% (

0.76)

50.02% (

-0.75)

Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.46% (

-0.59)

45.54% (

0.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.64% (

-0.47)

81.36% (

0.47)

Score Analysis

Boca Juniors 58.62%

Union 17.34%

Draw 24.02%

Boca Juniors	Draw	Union
1-0 @ 14.27% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 11.97% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.7% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 5.27% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.13) 4-1 @ 2.21% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.97% Total : 58.62%	1-1 @ 11.22% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 8.51% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.59% Total : 24.02%	0-1 @ 6.69% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.48% Total : 17.34%