Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ural Yekaterinburg win with a probability of 41.01%. A win for Dynamo Moscow had a probability of 33.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ural Yekaterinburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Dynamo Moscow win was 0-1 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ural Yekaterinburg would win this match.
Result | ||
Ural Yekaterinburg | Draw | Dynamo Moscow |
41.01% ( 0.34) | 25.92% ( -0.23) | 33.06% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 53.94% ( 0.71) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.69% ( 0.93) | 50.3% ( -0.94) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.75% ( 0.82) | 72.25% ( -0.83) |
Ural Yekaterinburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.75% ( 0.59) | 24.25% ( -0.59) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.39% ( 0.83) | 58.61% ( -0.84) |
Dynamo Moscow Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.21% ( 0.39) | 28.79% ( -0.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.36% ( 0.48) | 64.64% ( -0.48) |
Score Analysis |
Ural Yekaterinburg | Draw | Dynamo Moscow |
1-0 @ 9.89% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 8.72% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 7.01% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.12% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 3.31% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 1.46% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.86% Total : 41.01% | 1-1 @ 12.31% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 6.98% ( -0.27) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.91% | 0-1 @ 8.69% ( -0.24) 1-2 @ 7.67% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.62% Total : 33.06% |
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