SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | FC Krasnodar | 7 | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | Dynamo Moscow | 7 | 7 | 13 |
| 6 | Rostov | 7 | 3 | 13 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Fakel | 7 | -7 | 4 |
| 15 | Torpedo Moskva | 7 | -14 | 1 |
| 16 | Ural Yekaterinburg | 7 | -14 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 61.18%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Ural Yekaterinburg had a probability of 16.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.22%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Ural Yekaterinburg win it was 0-1 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Moscow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dynamo Moscow | Draw | Ural Yekaterinburg |
61.18% ( 0.38) | 21.91% ( -0.1) | 16.91% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 49.57% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.24% ( -0.03) | 47.76% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.05% ( -0.03) | 69.95% ( 0.03) |
| Dynamo Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.88% ( 0.11) | 15.12% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.32% ( 0.21) | 43.69% ( -0.21) |
| Ural Yekaterinburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.4% ( -0.36) | 41.6% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.91% ( -0.32) | 78.09% ( 0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dynamo Moscow | Draw | Ural Yekaterinburg |
| 1-0 @ 11.88% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 11.22% ( 0.1)2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 6.2% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 2.93% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.28% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.32% Total : 61.17% | 1-1 @ 10.42% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.29% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.88% Total : 21.91% | 0-1 @ 5.52% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.81% Total : 16.91% |
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