SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ural Yekaterinburg win with a probability of 55.85%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Fakel had a probability of 19.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ural Yekaterinburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.42%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for a Fakel win it was 0-1 (7.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ural Yekaterinburg | Draw | Fakel |
| 55.85% | 25.05% ( 0.26) | 19.09% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 44.41% ( -1.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.27% ( -1.25) | 56.73% ( 1.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.32% ( -1.01) | 77.68% ( 1.01) |
| Ural Yekaterinburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.7% ( -0.49) | 20.3% ( 0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.33% ( -0.79) | 52.67% ( 0.79) |
| Fakel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.72% ( -1.04) | 44.28% ( 1.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.65% ( -0.86) | 80.35% ( 0.85) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ural Yekaterinburg | Draw | Fakel |
| 1-0 @ 14.33% ( 0.47) 2-0 @ 11.42% ( 0.2)2-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 6.07% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.95% ( -0.13)4-0 @ 2.42% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 1.97% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.36% Total : 55.85% | 1-1 @ 11.67% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.99% ( 0.42)2-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.59% Total : 25.04% | 0-1 @ 7.32% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.07)Other @ 1.71% Total : 19.09% |
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