Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ural Yekaterinburg win with a probability of 45.99%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 26.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ural Yekaterinburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.15%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.86%), while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 0-1 (9.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ural Yekaterinburg | Draw | Nizhny Novgorod |
45.99% ( -0.18) | 27.67% ( 0.06) | 26.33% ( 0.12) |
Both teams to score 45.32% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.27% ( -0.13) | 59.72% ( 0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.97% ( -0.1) | 80.03% ( 0.09) |
Ural Yekaterinburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.02% ( -0.15) | 25.98% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39% ( -0.2) | 60.99% ( 0.2) |
Nizhny Novgorod Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.23% ( 0.04) | 38.77% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.49% ( 0.04) | 75.5% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Ural Yekaterinburg | Draw | Nizhny Novgorod |
1-0 @ 13.57% 2-0 @ 9.15% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.11% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.9% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.04% Total : 45.98% | 1-1 @ 12.86% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 10.07% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.63% Total : 27.67% | 0-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 6.09% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.52% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.3% ( -0) Other @ 1.53% Total : 26.33% |
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