Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 54.68%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Ural Yekaterinburg had a probability of 20.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.65%) and 1-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Ural Yekaterinburg win it was 1-0 (7.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ural Yekaterinburg | Draw | Spartak Moscow |
20.59% ( 0.01) | 24.73% ( 0.01) | 54.68% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 47.44% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.12% ( -0.01) | 53.88% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.67% ( -0.01) | 75.34% ( 0.01) |
Ural Yekaterinburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.04% ( 0.01) | 40.96% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.48% ( 0.01) | 77.52% ( -0.01) |
Spartak Moscow Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.35% ( -0.01) | 19.65% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.38% ( -0.02) | 51.62% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Ural Yekaterinburg | Draw | Spartak Moscow |
1-0 @ 7.18% ( 0) 2-1 @ 5.22% ( 0) 2-0 @ 3.21% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.55% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.26% ( 0) 3-0 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 1.22% Total : 20.59% | 1-1 @ 11.68% 0-0 @ 8.05% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.24% Other @ 0.75% Total : 24.72% | 0-1 @ 13.09% 0-2 @ 10.65% 1-2 @ 9.51% ( -0) 0-3 @ 5.78% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.16% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.35% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.3% 1-4 @ 2.1% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 2.8% Total : 54.67% |
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