SM
| Current Group H Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | South Korea | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Uruguay | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Ghana | 3 | -2 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 62.82%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Chile had a probability of 13.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.7%) and 2-1 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Chile win it was 0-1 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Uruguay would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Uruguay | Draw | Chile |
62.82% ( -0.29) | 23.26% ( 0.22) | 13.92% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 39.47% ( -0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.18% ( -0.64) | 57.81% ( 0.64) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.46% ( -0.51) | 78.54% ( 0.51) |
| Uruguay Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.92% ( -0.34) | 18.08% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51% ( -0.58) | 49% ( 0.59) |
| Chile Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.18% ( -0.29) | 51.82% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.11% ( -0.19) | 85.88% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Uruguay | Draw | Chile |
| 1-0 @ 16.02% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 13.7% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 9.01% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 7.81% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 5.14% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 3.34% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 2.2% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.76% Total : 62.81% | 1-1 @ 10.53% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 9.37% ( 0.23)2-2 @ 2.96% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.4% Total : 23.26% | 0-1 @ 6.16% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.28% Total : 13.92% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
