SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bolivia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Uruguay | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Panama | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | USA | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 50.04%. A win for Brazil had a probability of 25.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest Brazil win was 0-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| USA | Draw | Brazil |
50.04% ( -2.23) | 24.82% ( 0.67) | 25.13% ( 1.56) |
| Both teams to score 52.52% ( -0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.14% ( -1.41) | 49.85% ( 1.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.15% ( -1.27) | 71.85% ( 1.27) |
| USA Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.06% ( -1.44) | 19.93% ( 1.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.91% ( -2.37) | 52.08% ( 2.36) |
| Brazil Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.6% ( 0.59) | 34.39% ( -0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.89% ( 0.62) | 71.1% ( -0.62) |
| Score Analysis |
| USA | Draw | Brazil |
| 1-0 @ 11.05% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.16)2-0 @ 8.92% ( -0.3)3-1 @ 5.12% ( -0.33)3-0 @ 4.79% ( -0.39)3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 2.06% ( -0.23)4-0 @ 1.93% ( -0.25)4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.82% Total : 50.04% | 1-1 @ 11.8% ( 0.33) 0-0 @ 6.86% ( 0.38)2-2 @ 5.08% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.82% | 0-1 @ 7.32% ( 0.52) 1-2 @ 6.3% ( 0.27)0-2 @ 3.91% ( 0.34)1-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.14)Other @ 2.18% Total : 25.14% |
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