SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bolivia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Uruguay | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Panama | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | USA | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 61.84%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Colombia had a probability of 15.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.9%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Colombia win it was 0-1 (6.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Colombia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| USA | Draw | Colombia |
61.84% ( -0.09) | 23.07% ( 0.03) | 15.08% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 42.46% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.75% ( 0.02) | 55.25% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.52% ( 0.02) | 76.48% ( -0.02) |
| USA Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.51% ( -0.03) | 17.49% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.01% ( -0.05) | 47.99% ( 0.04) |
| Colombia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.46% ( 0.11) | 48.54% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.38% ( 0.08) | 83.62% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| USA | Draw | Colombia |
| 1-0 @ 14.8% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 12.9% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 7.5% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.42% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.27% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.36% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.16% Total : 61.84% | 1-1 @ 10.7% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.49% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.37% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.51% Total : 23.07% | 0-1 @ 6.14% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.87% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.93% Total : 15.08% |
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