Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 42.94%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 27.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.82%) and 2-1 (7.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.22%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Velez Sarsfield | Draw | San Lorenzo |
42.94% ( 0.21) | 29.5% ( 0.02) | 27.56% ( -0.23) |
Both teams to score 41.47% ( -0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
35.04% ( -0.13) | 64.96% ( 0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
16.14% ( -0.09) | 83.86% ( 0.09) |
Velez Sarsfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.9% ( 0.06) | 30.1% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.76% ( 0.07) | 66.24% ( -0.06) |
San Lorenzo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.33% ( -0.27) | 40.67% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.74% ( -0.24) | 77.26% ( 0.24) |
Score Analysis |
Velez Sarsfield | Draw | San Lorenzo |
1-0 @ 14.69% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 7.94% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.18% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 1.33% Total : 42.93% | 1-1 @ 13.22% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 12.24% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.46% Total : 29.49% | 0-1 @ 11.01% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.3% Total : 27.56% |
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