As Venezia are generally tougher to beat at home and Cagliari tend to struggle on their travels to the mainland, the hosts can at least make it three games unbeaten.
They may come up just short of a much-needed victory, though, as some serious defensive issues remain.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 52.12%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 23.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (7.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Venezia would win this match.
0.53) 
-0.11) 
