Frosinone can finally get off the mark with an away win, as they will meet one of Serie A's least effective attacking teams this weekend. Verona average under one goal per game, and recent departures have only weakened them.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 47.28%. A win for Frosinone had a probability of 26.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Frosinone win was 0-1 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
-0.34) 
0.13) 
