There is not a huge difference between these two sides when it comes to quality, and we are expecting a close match on Saturday. Cagliari have been poor on their travels, but Verona have won just once in Serie A at home this season, so we have had to settle on a low-scoring draw here.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 36.95%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 35.14% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.88%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 1-0 (10.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
-0.17) 
0.18) 
