SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 49.99%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 27.86% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.98%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 2-1 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
| Result | ||
| VfL Bochum | Draw | RB Leipzig |
27.86% ( -0.82) | 22.15% ( -0.24) | 49.99% ( 1.06) |
| Both teams to score 64.2% ( 0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.41% ( 0.59) | 35.59% ( -0.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.36% ( 0.65) | 57.64% ( -0.65) |
| VfL Bochum Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.16% ( -0.23) | 24.84% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.57% ( -0.32) | 59.43% ( 0.32) |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.41% ( 0.58) | 14.59% ( -0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.33% ( 1.1) | 42.67% ( -1.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| VfL Bochum | Draw | RB Leipzig |
| 2-1 @ 6.77% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 5.05% ( -0.19)2-0 @ 3.52% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 3.14% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.63% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.59% Total : 27.86% | 1-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 6.51% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.62% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.36% Total : 22.15% | 1-2 @ 9.35% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 6.98% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 6.71% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 6% ( 0.15)0-3 @ 4.31% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 4.18% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 2.89% ( 0.13)0-4 @ 2.07% ( 0.11)2-4 @ 2.01% ( 0.08)1-5 @ 1.11% ( 0.07)3-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.45% Total : 49.99% |
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