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Bundesliga | Gameweek 24
Feb 27, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
 
LL

VfL Bochum
0 - 1
RB Leipzig


Gamboa (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Nkunku (82')
Simakan (70')

We said: VfL Bochum 1-2 RB Leipzig

Despite Bochum's solid form of late, Leipzig should possess too much for them in this meeting on Sunday, with the visitors in fine form since the turn of the year, particularly in front of goal. We believe the hosts will push them all the way though, with Reis's side proving a tough side to beat in recent weeks, as Bayern found out in the last fixture at the Vonovia Ruhrstadion two weeks ago. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 64.49%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 17.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.21%) and 1-3 (7.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.99%), while for a VfL Bochum win it was 2-1 (4.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
VfL BochumDrawRB Leipzig
17.08%18.43%64.49%
Both teams to score 62.34%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.75%31.25%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.31%52.69%
VfL Bochum Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.67%31.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.3%67.7%
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.79%9.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.83%31.17%
Score Analysis
    VfL Bochum 17.08%
    RB Leipzig 64.49%
    Draw 18.43%
VfL BochumDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 4.63%
1-0 @ 3.35%
3-2 @ 2.14%
2-0 @ 1.94%
3-1 @ 1.79%
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 17.08%
1-1 @ 7.99%
2-2 @ 5.53%
0-0 @ 2.89%
3-3 @ 1.7%
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 18.43%
1-2 @ 9.53%
0-2 @ 8.21%
1-3 @ 7.57%
0-1 @ 6.88%
0-3 @ 6.53%
1-4 @ 4.52%
2-3 @ 4.39%
0-4 @ 3.89%
2-4 @ 2.62%
1-5 @ 2.16%
0-5 @ 1.86%
2-5 @ 1.25%
3-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 4.08%
Total : 64.49%

Read more!
Read more!


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