SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 37.38%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 35.73% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (6.57%). The likeliest Vizela win was 1-0 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boavista would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vizela | Draw | Boavista |
35.73% ( 0.19) | 26.89% ( -0.01) | 37.38% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 51.26% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.07% ( 0.03) | 53.92% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.62% ( 0.03) | 75.37% ( -0.03) |
| Vizela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.1% ( 0.13) | 28.9% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.23% ( 0.16) | 64.77% ( -0.16) |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.09% ( -0.09) | 27.9% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.48% ( -0.11) | 63.52% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vizela | Draw | Boavista |
| 1-0 @ 10.01% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 6.21% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.28% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.57% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.1% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.6% Total : 35.73% | 1-1 @ 12.77% 0-0 @ 8.06% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.06% ( 0)Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.88% | 0-1 @ 10.29% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.15% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.57% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.47% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.85% Total : 37.38% |
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