SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 47.04%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 28.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Arouca win was 1-0 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%).
| Result | ||
| Arouca | Draw | Boavista |
28.52% ( -1.21) | 24.43% ( -0.55) | 47.04% ( 1.75) |
| Both teams to score 56.62% ( 1.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.2% ( 1.73) | 45.79% ( -1.73) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.89% ( 1.62) | 68.11% ( -1.62) |
| Arouca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.39% ( 0.03) | 29.61% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.35% ( 0.03) | 65.64% ( -0.04) |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.43% ( 1.45) | 19.56% ( -1.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.52% ( 2.32) | 51.48% ( -2.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arouca | Draw | Boavista |
| 1-0 @ 7.05% ( -0.53) 2-1 @ 7% ( -0.19)2-0 @ 4.29% ( -0.32)3-1 @ 2.84% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.13)Other @ 3.28% Total : 28.52% | 1-1 @ 11.5% ( -0.31) 0-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.44)2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.43% | 0-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.27) 1-2 @ 9.38% ( 0.17)0-2 @ 7.71% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 5.1% ( 0.31)0-3 @ 4.19% ( 0.25)2-3 @ 3.11% ( 0.19)1-4 @ 2.08% ( 0.21)0-4 @ 1.71% ( 0.17)2-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.13)Other @ 3.04% Total : 47.04% |
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