Vizela will be full of confidence following their added-time equaliser at Estoril last time out, but Villar's men have struggled to pick up regular wins at home so far this term.
Portimonense come into this clash after tough tests against Vitoria and Benfica, and we believe such challenges have left the visitors capable of collecting all three points at Estadio Do Vizela on Saturday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 42.29%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 30.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Portimonense would win this match.
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