SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 45.23%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 27.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gil Vicente would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Portimonense |
45.23% ( -0.07) | 26.85% ( 0.03) | 27.91% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 48.66% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.02% ( -0.08) | 55.98% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.92% ( -0.06) | 77.07% ( 0.06) |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.33% ( -0.07) | 24.67% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.81% ( -0.1) | 59.19% ( 0.09) |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.59% ( -0.01) | 35.4% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.83% ( -0.01) | 72.17% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Portimonense |
| 1-0 @ 12.22% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.88% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.56% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.15% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.99% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.43% Total : 45.23% | 1-1 @ 12.69% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.73% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.82% Total : 26.85% | 0-1 @ 9.07% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.59% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.28% 0-3 @ 1.63% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0)Other @ 2.04% Total : 27.91% |
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