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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 5
Sep 17, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
P

Guimaraes
1 - 2
Portimonense

Relvas (17' og.)
Fernandes (8'), Silva (49')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Carlinhos (81' pen., 90+6')
Seck (43'), Formiga (45+3'), Zinho (90+3'), Carlinhos (90+7')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Guimaraes 0-1 Tondela
Saturday, September 9 at 8.30pm in Taca da Liga

We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 2-0 Portimonense

Despite the setback in being knocked out of the cup last week, Guimaraes should emphasise their superiority by returning to winning ways here. Portimonense have been one of the league's poorest sides in the opening four weeks, and two thrashing against mid-table outfits already suggests another tough day could be in store. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 54.84%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 19.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.29%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.84%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawPortimonense
54.84% (-0.517 -0.52) 25.51% (-0.286 -0.29) 19.65% (0.808 0.81)
Both teams to score 44.02% (1.875 1.88)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.3% (1.839 1.84)57.7% (-1.833 -1.83)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.55% (1.432 1.43)78.45% (-1.427 -1.43)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.9% (0.54000000000001 0.54)21.1% (-0.535 -0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.07% (0.829 0.83)53.93% (-0.822 -0.82)
Portimonense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.8% (2.012 2.01)44.21% (-2.006 -2.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.71% (1.599 1.6)80.29% (-1.593 -1.59)
Score Analysis
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 54.84%
    Portimonense 19.65%
    Draw 25.5%
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawPortimonense
1-0 @ 14.51% (-0.79 -0.79)
2-0 @ 11.29% (-0.42 -0.42)
2-1 @ 9.22% (0.173 0.17)
3-0 @ 5.86% (-0.122 -0.12)
3-1 @ 4.78% (0.165 0.17)
4-0 @ 2.28% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.95% (0.17 0.17)
4-1 @ 1.86% (0.093 0.09)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 54.84%
1-1 @ 11.84% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 9.33% (-0.671 -0.67)
2-2 @ 3.76% (0.272 0.27)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 25.5%
0-1 @ 7.61% (-0.103 -0.1)
1-2 @ 4.84% (0.275 0.28)
0-2 @ 3.11% (0.129 0.13)
1-3 @ 1.32% (0.143 0.14)
2-3 @ 1.02% (0.126 0.13)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 19.65%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Guimaraes 0-1 Tondela
Saturday, September 9 at 8.30pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Benfica 4-0 Guimaraes
Saturday, September 2 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 2-0 Vizela
Sunday, August 27 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 2-1 Gil Vicente
Saturday, August 19 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estrela Amadora 0-1 Guimaraes
Sunday, August 13 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 0-1 Celje (2-4 pen.)
Thursday, August 3 at 8.15pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Portimonense 1-1 Estrela Amadora
Saturday, September 2 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Arouca 1-1 Portimonense
Saturday, August 26 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Portimonense 1-4 Boavista
Saturday, August 19 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Gil Vicente 5-0 Portimonense
Saturday, August 12 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Leixoes 0-0 Portimonense (5-4 pen.)
Sunday, July 30 at 11am in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Portimonense 3-1 Estrela Amadora
Sunday, July 23 at 8.30pm in Taca da Liga


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