Arouca remain unbeaten after two league games, and while they have proven they can score goals, they have also been conceding very frequently.
Portimonense have looked hopeless in their two opening matches though, letting in nine goals, and this could be another difficult evening.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 28.77% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
0.47) 
-0.54) 
