Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VVV-Venlo win with a probability of 46.38%. A win for Den Bosch had a probability of 29.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a VVV-Venlo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Den Bosch win was 1-2 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.