Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 54.51%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 23.33% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.58%) and 0-2 (8.25%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 2-1 (6.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Emmen would win this match.