Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 46.48%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 28.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.33%) and 0-2 (7.66%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 1-0 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Emmen would win this match.
