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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 51.41%. A win for Warrington Town had a probability of 24.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.64%) and 0-2 (8.99%). The likeliest Warrington Town win was 1-0 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Warrington Town | Draw | Hereford United |
24.32% ( -0.75) | 24.27% ( -0.09) | 51.41% ( 0.83) |
| Both teams to score 53.4% ( -0.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.71% ( -0.3) | 48.29% ( 0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.56% ( -0.27) | 70.44% ( 0.27) |
| Warrington Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.75% ( -0.8) | 34.25% ( 0.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.06% ( -0.86) | 70.94% ( 0.86) |
| Hereford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.22% ( 0.21) | 18.78% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.81% ( 0.35) | 50.19% ( -0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Warrington Town | Draw | Hereford United |
| 1-0 @ 6.89% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 6.18% ( -0.15)2-0 @ 3.69% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 2.21% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 1.32% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.19% Total : 24.32% | 1-1 @ 11.52% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.43% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.27% | 0-1 @ 10.75% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 9.64% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 8.99% ( 0.23)1-3 @ 5.37% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 5.01% ( 0.16)2-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 2.25% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 2.1% ( 0.08)2-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.21% Total : 51.4% |
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