SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Waterford United win with a probability of 53.9%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Waterford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.82%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 0-1 (6.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Waterford United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Waterford United | Draw | Drogheda United |
53.9% ( 0) | 24.1% | 22% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 51.17% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.11% ( -0) | 49.89% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.12% ( -0) | 71.88% ( 0) |
| Waterford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.57% ( 0) | 18.43% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.4% ( 0) | 49.59% ( -0) |
| Drogheda United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.73% ( -0.01) | 37.26% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.95% ( -0.01) | 74.04% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Waterford United | Draw | Drogheda United |
| 1-0 @ 11.61% 2-0 @ 9.82% ( 0)2-1 @ 9.7% 3-0 @ 5.54% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.47% 3-2 @ 2.7% 4-0 @ 2.34% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.31% 4-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 3.27% Total : 53.89% | 1-1 @ 11.46% 0-0 @ 6.87% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.79% ( -0)Other @ 0.99% Total : 24.1% | 0-1 @ 6.78% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.66% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.35% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.86% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.58% 0-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.68% Total : 22% |
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