SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wealdstone win with a probability of 49.81%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 26.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wealdstone win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 1-2 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wealdstone would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wealdstone | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
49.81% ( 0.02) | 23.31% ( -0.09) | 26.88% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 59.15% ( 0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.13% ( 0.44) | 41.86% ( -0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.73% ( 0.44) | 64.27% ( -0.44) |
| Wealdstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.04% ( 0.17) | 16.96% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.95% ( 0.31) | 47.05% ( -0.31) |
| Dorking Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.23% ( 0.28) | 28.77% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.39% ( 0.34) | 64.61% ( -0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wealdstone | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
| 2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.66% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 7.68% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 5.66% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 4.54% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.53% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 2.51% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.02% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.56% ( 0.03)Other @ 4.08% Total : 49.81% | 1-1 @ 10.78% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.96% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 4.88% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.3% | 1-2 @ 6.72% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.08% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.57% ( 0)Other @ 3.46% Total : 26.88% |
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