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National League South | Gameweek 4
Aug 24, 2024 at 3pm UK
Park View Road

Welling United
4 - 1
Farnborough

Chukwu (6'), Walker (11'), Kennedy (22'), Casey (70' og.)
Wells (38'), Winfield (50'), Kennedy (66'), Grant (87')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Bloomfield (4')
Pendlebury (33'), Casey (87')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Welling United and Farnborough Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bath City 1-0 Welling United
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough 2-0 Eastbourne
Tuesday, August 20 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Farnborough Town win with a probability of 57.07%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Welling United had a probability of 20.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Farnborough Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.13%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Welling United win it was 1-0 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
Welling UnitedDrawFarnborough Town
20.02% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06) 22.91% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05) 57.07% (0.111 0.11)
Both teams to score 52.04% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.69% (0.127 0.13)47.31% (-0.13 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.47% (0.12 0.12)69.53% (-0.122 -0.12)
Welling United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.21% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)37.79% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.43% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)74.57% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Farnborough Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.66% (0.084000000000003 0.08)16.34% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.06% (0.151 0.15)45.94% (-0.153 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Welling United 20.02%
    Farnborough Town 57.06%
    Draw 22.9%
Welling UnitedDrawFarnborough Town
1-0 @ 6.01% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-1 @ 5.3% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-0 @ 2.92% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-1 @ 1.72% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.56% (0.002 0)
3-0 @ 0.95% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 20.02%
1-1 @ 10.88% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.17% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.8% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 0.94% (0.0039999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 22.9%
0-1 @ 11.18% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 10.13%
1-2 @ 9.86% (0.004999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 6.12% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 5.96% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.9% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-4 @ 2.77% (0.017 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.7% (0.017 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.31% (0.008 0.01)
0-5 @ 1% (0.009 0.01)
1-5 @ 0.98% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 57.06%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Bath City 1-0 Welling United
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 1-0 Aveley
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 0-3 Sutton
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Welling United 1-0 Ebbsfleet
Tuesday, July 30 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Welling United 1-1 Leyton Orient
Tuesday, July 16 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Slough 1-1 Welling United
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough 2-0 Eastbourne
Tuesday, August 20 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough 1-0 Torquay Utd
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chippenham 1-2 Farnborough
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough 1-1 Maidenhead
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Farnborough 1-2 Yeovil
Saturday, July 27 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Weymouth 1-2 Farnborough
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in National League South


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