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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 43.24%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 33.45% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.05%) and 2-0 (6.02%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
43.24% ( -0.96) | 23.32% ( -0.12) | 33.45% ( 1.09) |
| Both teams to score 63.24% ( 0.9) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.77% ( 1) | 38.23% ( -1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.49% ( 1.06) | 60.51% ( -1.05) |
| Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.89% ( 0.01) | 18.11% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.95% ( 0.02) | 49.05% ( -0.02) |
| Melbourne Victory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.23% ( 1.09) | 22.77% ( -1.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.53% ( 1.59) | 56.47% ( -1.59) |
| Score Analysis |
| Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
| 2-1 @ 8.91% ( -0.13) 1-0 @ 7.05% ( -0.34)2-0 @ 6.02% ( -0.29)3-1 @ 5.08% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 3.75% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 3.43% ( -0.16)4-1 @ 2.17% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.77% Total : 43.24% | 1-1 @ 10.42% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 6.59% ( 0.11)0-0 @ 4.12% ( -0.2)3-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.31% | 1-2 @ 7.71% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 6.1% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 3.8% ( 0.18)2-3 @ 3.25% ( 0.16)0-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.11)1-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.11)2-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.09)Other @ 3.23% Total : 33.45% |
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