SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 44.66%. A win for Western United had a probability of 32.53% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.65%) and 0-2 (5.95%). The likeliest Western United win was 2-1 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Western United | Draw | Adelaide United |
32.53% ( 0.27) | 22.81% ( 0.26) | 44.66% ( -0.54) |
| Both teams to score 64.78% ( -0.88) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.93% ( -1.2) | 36.07% ( 1.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.83% ( -1.33) | 58.17% ( 1.33) |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.74% ( -0.42) | 22.26% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.3% ( -0.64) | 55.7% ( 0.64) |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.32% ( -0.67) | 16.68% ( 0.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.45% ( -1.22) | 46.55% ( 1.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Western United | Draw | Adelaide United |
| 2-1 @ 7.5% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.26)2-0 @ 4.19% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 3.76% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 2.1% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.36% Total : 32.53% | 1-1 @ 9.99% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 6.72% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 3.71% ( 0.22)3-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.81% | 1-2 @ 8.95% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.65% ( 0.25)0-2 @ 5.95% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 5.34% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 4.01% ( -0.14)0-3 @ 3.56% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 2.39% ( -0.11)2-4 @ 1.8% ( -0.1)0-4 @ 1.59% ( -0.05)Other @ 4.43% Total : 44.66% |
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