SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 41.57%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 34.62% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.39%) and 2-0 (6.01%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Western United | Draw | Adelaide United |
41.57% ( 0.54) | 23.81% ( -0.06) | 34.62% ( -0.47) |
| Both teams to score 61.78% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.7% ( 0.19) | 40.3% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.33% ( 0.19) | 62.67% ( -0.18) |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.33% ( 0.32) | 19.67% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.34% ( 0.52) | 51.66% ( -0.51) |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.91% ( -0.17) | 23.09% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.06% ( -0.25) | 56.94% ( 0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Western United | Draw | Adelaide United |
| 2-1 @ 8.8% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 7.39% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 4.77% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.26% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.94% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.17% Total : 41.57% | 1-1 @ 10.82% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.45% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.54% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.8% | 1-2 @ 7.93% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 6.66% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 3.88% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 3.15% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.16% Total : 34.62% |
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