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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 40.97%. A win for Western United had a probability of 35.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.39%) and 0-2 (5.94%). The likeliest Western United win was 2-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Western United | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
35.14% ( -0.09) | 23.88% ( 0.14) | 40.97% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 61.61% ( -0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.43% ( -0.71) | 40.56% ( 0.71) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.05% ( -0.73) | 62.94% ( 0.73) |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.06% ( -0.37) | 22.93% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.29% ( -0.55) | 56.7% ( 0.55) |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.95% ( -0.32) | 20.05% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.73% ( -0.52) | 52.27% ( 0.52) |
| Score Analysis |
| Western United | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
| 2-1 @ 8.01% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.77% ( 0.15)2-0 @ 4.99% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 3.93% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 2.45% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 0.9% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.32% Total : 35.14% | 1-1 @ 10.88% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 6.44% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 4.6% ( 0.15)3-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.88% | 1-2 @ 8.74% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.39% ( 0.17)0-2 @ 5.94% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 4.68% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.88% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.05% Total : 40.97% |
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