SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 45.51%. A win for Zhejiang Professional had a probability of 31.96% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.44%) and 2-0 (5.92%). The likeliest Zhejiang Professional win was 1-2 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wuhan Three Towns | Draw | Zhejiang Professional |
45.51% ( 0.7) | 22.53% ( 0.1) | 31.96% ( -0.81) |
| Both teams to score 65.57% ( -0.77) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.08% ( -0.85) | 34.92% ( 0.84) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.1% ( -0.95) | 56.9% ( 0.95) |
| Wuhan Three Towns Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.09% ( -0.08) | 15.91% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.84% ( -0.13) | 45.15% ( 0.12) |
| Zhejiang Professional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.98% ( -0.85) | 22.02% ( 0.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.65% ( -1.3) | 55.34% ( 1.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wuhan Three Towns | Draw | Zhejiang Professional |
| 2-1 @ 8.96% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.26)2-0 @ 5.92% ( 0.23)3-1 @ 5.49% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 4.15% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 3.63% ( 0.13)4-1 @ 2.52% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.06)4-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.94% Total : 45.51% | 1-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 6.78% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 3.5% ( 0.15)3-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.41% Total : 22.53% | 1-2 @ 7.37% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 5.3% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.72% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 3.42% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.09)2-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.41% Total : 31.96% |
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