SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 54.12%. A win for Young Boys had a probability of 24.51% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.24%) and 0-1 (7.1%). The likeliest Young Boys win was 2-1 (6.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Young Boys | Draw | Manchester City |
24.51% ( -1.22) | 21.36% ( -0.02) | 54.12% ( 1.25) |
| Both teams to score 63.71% ( -1.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.2% ( -1.12) | 34.8% ( 1.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.23% ( -1.26) | 56.77% ( 1.27) |
| Young Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.23% ( -1.49) | 26.77% ( 1.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.95% ( -2.01) | 62.05% ( 2.01) |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.99% ( -0) | 13.01% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.46% ( -0.01) | 39.54% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Young Boys | Draw | Manchester City |
| 2-1 @ 6.17% ( -0.17) 1-0 @ 4.59% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 3.02% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.2)3-1 @ 2.71% ( -0.2)3-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.1)4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.11)Other @ 3.02% Total : 24.51% | 1-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.18)0-0 @ 3.48% ( 0.2)3-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.35% Total : 21.36% | 1-2 @ 9.55% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 7.24% ( 0.4)0-1 @ 7.1% ( 0.4)1-3 @ 6.49% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 4.92% ( 0.27)2-3 @ 4.28% ( -0.12)1-4 @ 3.31% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 2.51% ( 0.14)2-4 @ 2.18% ( -0.06)1-5 @ 1.35% ( 0.02)0-5 @ 1.02% ( 0.06)3-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.21% Total : 54.12% |
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