Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 61.87%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 17.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.32%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.88%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 1-0 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Wolverhampton Wanderers | Draw | Manchester City |
17.2% ( 0.01) | 20.93% ( 0.01) | 61.87% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 53.36% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57% ( -0.01) | 43% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.6% ( -0.01) | 65.4% ( 0.01) |
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.59% ( 0) | 38.41% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.84% ( 0.01) | 75.16% ( -0) |
Manchester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.64% ( -0) | 13.36% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.75% ( -0.01) | 40.26% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Wolverhampton Wanderers | Draw | Manchester City |
1-0 @ 4.91% ( 0) 2-1 @ 4.73% ( 0) 2-0 @ 2.35% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.52% 3-1 @ 1.51% ( 0) Other @ 2.19% Total : 17.2% | 1-1 @ 9.88% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.13% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.76% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.93% | 0-2 @ 10.39% 0-1 @ 10.32% 1-2 @ 9.95% ( 0) 0-3 @ 6.98% ( -0) 1-3 @ 6.67% ( -0) 0-4 @ 3.51% ( -0) 1-4 @ 3.36% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.19% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.61% 0-5 @ 1.41% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.35% ( -0) Other @ 3.12% Total : 61.86% |
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